BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mason City

Class: 4A Class Rank: 44 Conference: (2-16) Overall: (4-17) Overall Strength =   69.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Home    L *  73.18  46   58   4A   17 (12-10) WDM Dowling             3.30    -15.30                      
  2 12/01/2006 Home    W    76.77  43   32   3A   40 (14- 8) Charles City            6.89      4.11                      
  3 12/05/2006 Home    L    80.12  59   63   4A   19 (13-10) Cedar Falls            10.24    -14.24                      
  4 12/08/2006 Away    L *  53.66  44   74   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                -16.21    -13.79                      
  5 12/15/2006 Home    L *  63.27  50   74   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   -6.61    -17.39                      
  6 12/19/2006 Away    L *  63.44  30   49   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown           -6.43    -12.57                      
  7 12/21/2006 Away    W    90.70  76   58   3A   34 (16- 6) Forest City            20.82     -2.82                      
  8 01/05/2007 Home    L *  64.22  53   76   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley             -5.65    -17.35                      
  9 01/12/2007 Away    L *  68.13  44   60   4A   25 (10-11) Fort Dodge             -1.75    -14.25                      
 10 01/16/2007 Away    W *  85.06  58   54   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East        15.18    -11.18                      
 11 01/19/2007 Away    L *  68.12  38   61   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   -1.75    -21.25                      
 12 01/23/2007 Home    L *  75.49  47   59   4A    8 (16- 7) Johnston                5.62    -17.62                      
 13 01/26/2007 Home    W *  79.59  38   37   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown            9.71     -8.71                      
 14 01/30/2007 Away    L *  68.96  41   59   4A   20 (16- 8) Des Moines Lincoln     -0.92    -17.08                      
 15 02/02/2007 Away    L *  63.08  37   65   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley             -6.80    -21.20                      
 16 02/03/2007 Home    L *  70.55  36   57   4A    4 (19- 7) Urbandale               0.68    -21.68                      
 17 02/09/2007 Home    L *  59.27  38   59   4A   25 (10-11) Fort Dodge            -10.60    -10.40                      
 18 02/16/2007 Home    L *  69.81  68   78   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                 -0.07     -9.93                      
 19 02/19/2007 Home    L *  68.41  46   62   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk         -1.47    -14.53  was 02/13 now 02/19 
 20 02/20/2007 Home    L *  63.13  52   79   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 -6.75    -20.25                      
 21 02/27/2007 Away    L *  62.44  49   69   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown           -7.43    -12.57                      
      Averages              69.88  47.3 61.1

Best game:   90.70 = 18 point win over Forest City
Worst game:  53.66 = 30 point loss to Waukee
Team stdev:   8.95